Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UML -218 BRY +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +19 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UML -4.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -3.5 (+15.5) | 137.8 (+19.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -3.2 (+15.8) | 137.5 (+19.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -3.2 (+15.8) | 138.1 (+18.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -3.9 (+15.1) | 136.7 (+20.3) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | UML 77 – 63 BRY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BRY 79 – 78 UML |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BRY 85 – 62 UML |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UML 77 – 70 BRY |
| Feb 29, 2024 | UML 89 – 67 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-14 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#330) | -13.3 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#322) | -2.35 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#322) | -2.87 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#277) | 0.413 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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