Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | UML +135 BRY -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +1 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -2.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.6 (+0.6) | 159.9 (-2.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -1.8 (+0.8) | 159.2 (-2.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -2.1 (+1.1) | 157.1 (-0.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -2.1 (+1.1) | 158.4 (-1.4) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UML 88 – 69 BRY |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UML 77 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BRY 85 – 62 UML |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UML 77 – 70 BRY |
| Feb 29, 2024 | UML 89 – 67 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 14-2 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#258) | -0.3 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#239) | -0.27 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#217) | -0.01 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#201) | 0.522 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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