Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -130 UML +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +14 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -4.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -1.7 (-15.7) | 136.7 (+3.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.9 (-15.9) | 137.6 (+2.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -1.8 (-15.8) | 138.7 (+1.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.9 (-15.9) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UML 88 – 69 BRY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BRY 79 – 78 UML |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BRY 85 – 62 UML |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UML 77 – 70 BRY |
| Feb 29, 2024 | UML 89 – 67 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-17 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#304) | -9.9 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#317) | -1.95 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#312) | -2.60 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#275) | 0.433 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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