I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
America East Conference · Chace Athletic Center · January 8, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread BRY -2.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money BRY -130 / UML +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRY win
Actual UML +14 140 Lost
Massey BRY -4.1 (-18.1) — —
Massey Totals — 143.7 (-3.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 69% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BRY -1.9 (-15.9) 136.2 (+3.8) 57% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BRY -1.7 (-15.7) 136.7 (+3.3) 57% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BRY -1.9 (-15.9) 137.6 (+2.4) 60% ✗
Baseline ML BRY -1.8 (-15.8) 138.7 (+1.3) 61% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 UML 88 – 69 BRY
Feb 27, 2025 BRY 79 – 78 UML
Jan 18, 2025 BRY 85 – 62 UML
Mar 12, 2024 UML 77 – 70 BRY
Feb 29, 2024 UML 89 – 67 BRY

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRY UML
Overall 9-22 15-18
Conference 5-11 9-7
Home 8-5 10-4
Away 1-17 5-14
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 63.0 71.7
Avg Pts Against 73.3 77.4
Massey -9.5 (#304) -9.9 (#311)
Bradley-Terry -1.89 (#317) -1.95 (#320)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.50 (#312) -2.60 (#319)
RPI 0.440 (#275) 0.433 (#285)
Shooting & Four Factors BRY UML
FG% 37.9% 45.0%
3PT% 28.1% 33.8%
REB / G 33.3 32.6
OREB / G 9.5 10.8
AST / TO 0.76 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.0% 50.3%
TOV% 22.3% 20.7%
ORB% 26.7% 31.1%
FT Rate 18.7% 24.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 55.6%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 15.8%
DRB% 66.5% 64.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.3% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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