Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | UML -333 BRY +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UML -5.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -5.5 (+1.5) | 157.8 (-10.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -4.3 (+2.7) | 155.3 (-8.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -4.5 (+2.5) | 156.4 (-9.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -5.4 (+1.6) | 158.2 (-11.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UML 88 – 69 BRY |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UML 77 – 63 BRY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BRY 79 – 78 UML |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BRY 85 – 62 UML |
| Feb 29, 2024 | UML 89 – 67 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 11-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 10-7 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#145) | -0.6 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#132) | 0.35 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#140) | 0.32 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#124) | 0.532 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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