Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | UML -250 BRY +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +22 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UML -5.8 (+16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -5.9 (+16.1) | 155.7 (+0.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -7.1 (+14.9) | 155.8 (+0.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -5.1 (+16.9) | 151.4 (+4.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -4.7 (+17.3) | 154.1 (+1.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UML 88 – 69 BRY |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UML 77 – 63 BRY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BRY 79 – 78 UML |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BRY 85 – 62 UML |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UML 77 – 70 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 11-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 10-7 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#144) | -0.8 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#128) | 0.33 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#137) | 0.33 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#121) | 0.526 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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