Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | TOW -1600 STBK +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +4 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -13.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -10.0 (-6.0) | 135.0 (-33.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -9.6 (-5.6) | 132.7 (-30.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -10.4 (-6.4) | 134.0 (-32.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -10.4 (-6.4) | 135.4 (-33.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | TOW 69 – 57 STBK |
| Feb 13, 2026 | TOW 69 – 57 STBK |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TOW 66 – 59 STBK |
| Jan 12, 2024 | TOW 73 – 64 STBK |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TOW 67 – 55 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-1 | 5-9 |
| Away | 9-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#198) | -12.0 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#162) | -1.89 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#170) | -2.58 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#116) | 0.419 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 58.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.