Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | KENN +110 LT -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | LT -0.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -0.3 (+2.3) | 142.7 (+11.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -0.5 (+1.5) | 142.2 (+11.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -0.1 (+1.9) | 142.9 (+11.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -0.3 (+2.3) | 140.9 (+13.1) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | KENN 71 – 60 LT |
| Feb 21, 2026 | KENN 58 – 55 LT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LT 82 – 76 KENN |
| Feb 14, 2025 | KENN 69 – 47 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#196) | 1.9 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#151) | 0.73 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#168) | 0.87 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#150) | 0.546 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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