Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LT -195 KENN +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +22 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -5.5 (-27.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -5.4 (-27.4) | 142.6 (-26.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -4.1 (-26.1) | 142.8 (-26.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -4.4 (-26.4) | 143.1 (-27.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -5.0 (-27.0) | 142.0 (-26.0) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | KENN 71 – 60 LT |
| Feb 21, 2026 | KENN 58 – 55 LT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LT 82 – 76 KENN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KENN 78 – 76 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#127) | -0.1 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#95) | 0.49 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#96) | 0.49 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#64) | 0.521 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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