Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LT +105 KENN -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -2.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -2.7 (+8.7) | 140.0 (+18.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -2.2 (+8.2) | 137.7 (+20.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -2.7 (+8.7) | 137.9 (+20.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -2.3 (+8.3) | 139.3 (+18.7) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | KENN 71 – 60 LT |
| Feb 21, 2026 | KENN 58 – 55 LT |
| Feb 14, 2025 | KENN 69 – 47 LT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KENN 78 – 76 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#256) | 0.4 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#225) | -0.01 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#251) | -0.04 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#260) | 0.496 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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