They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Conference USA · VyStar Arena · February 21, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -5.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money KENN -278 / LT +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +3 113 Won
Massey KENN -6.9 (-3.9)
Massey Totals 148.1 (-35.1)
Bradley-Terry 65%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -5.3 (-2.3) 145.2 (-32.2) 67%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -4.5 (-1.5) 144.5 (-31.5) 70%
Baseline ML KENN -4.4 (-1.4) 144.5 (-31.5) 69%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -4.6 (-1.6) 146.7 (-33.7) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 KENN 7160 LT
Jan 23, 2026 LT 8276 KENN
Feb 14, 2025 KENN 6947 LT
Jan 18, 2025 KENN 7876 LT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN LT
Overall 21-14 20-14
Conference 10-10 11-9
Home 13-3 14-3
Away 4-8 4-10
Neutral 4-3 2-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.0 67.8
Avg Pts Against 78.2 67.8
Massey -0.4 (#174) -4.4 (#234)
Bradley-Terry -0.25 (#197) -0.36 (#207)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.27 (#182) -0.70 (#220)
RPI 0.488 (#210) 0.483 (#220)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN LT
FG% 43.1% 42.0%
3PT% 33.8% 27.6%
REB / G 39.8 37.5
OREB / G 14.0 13.1
AST / TO 1.12 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 46.5%
TOV% 16.8% 18.2%
ORB% 36.0% 35.4%
FT Rate 31.3% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 17.7%
DRB% 69.4% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 35.6% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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