Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | SDST -3000 ORU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -19.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -15.2 (-1.2) | 159.8 (-5.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -16.0 (-2.0) | 158.9 (-4.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -16.3 (-2.3) | 159.3 (-5.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -15.9 (-1.9) | 157.4 (-3.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDST 87 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SDST 95 – 72 ORU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SDST 77 – 69 ORU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SDST 79 – 63 ORU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SDST 83 – 72 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 3-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 82.0 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#95) | -10.7 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#163) | -2.10 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#145) | -2.56 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#178) | 0.396 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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