Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -333 ORU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -6.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -5.3 (+5.7) | 150.2 (+4.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -4.2 (+6.8) | 148.3 (+6.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -4.8 (+6.2) | 148.4 (+6.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -4.7 (+6.3) | 150.2 (+4.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDST 87 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SDST 95 – 72 ORU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SDST 77 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SDST 84 – 70 ORU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SDST 79 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#170) | -3.1 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#196) | -0.59 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#191) | -0.77 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#197) | 0.467 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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