Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | ORU +260 SDST -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +8 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -10.9 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -9.7 (+1.7) | 155.9 (-9.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -10.5 (+2.5) | 151.0 (-5.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -10.2 (+2.2) | 152.9 (-6.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -10.0 (+2.0) | 153.6 (-7.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDST 87 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SDST 95 – 72 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SDST 84 – 70 ORU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SDST 79 – 63 ORU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SDST 83 – 72 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 11-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 0-15 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#314) | 4.8 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#336) | 0.42 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#327) | 0.53 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#347) | 0.524 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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