Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CHST +135 LEM -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +16 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | LEM -2.3 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -2.2 (+18.2) | 143.5 (+16.5) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -2.4 (+18.4) | 140.8 (+19.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -2.3 (+18.3) | 140.0 (+20.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -1.5 (+17.5) | 141.8 (+18.2) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEM 81 – 63 CHST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LEM 72 – 57 CHST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEM 80 – 75 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 4-12 |
| Home | 3-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-19 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L8 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -17.3 (#359) | -11.3 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#346) | -1.69 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.22 (#342) | -2.24 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#314) | 0.414 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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