Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LEM -310 CHST +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +18 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LEM -8.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -6.8 (+11.2) | 140.6 (+3.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -7.1 (+10.9) | 141.0 (+3.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -6.3 (+11.7) | 139.8 (+4.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -6.0 (+12.0) | 141.5 (+2.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | LEM 72 – 57 CHST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEM 80 – 75 CHST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHST 88 – 72 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-12 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#290) | -13.5 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#294) | -2.64 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#299) | -3.37 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#290) | 0.407 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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