Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +230 LEM -285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +15 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | LEM -2.4 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -2.1 (-12.9) | 140.0 (-11.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -3.6 (-11.4) | 140.7 (-11.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -3.6 (-11.4) | 140.7 (-11.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -3.9 (-11.1) | 140.3 (-11.3) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEM 81 – 63 CHST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEM 80 – 75 CHST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHST 88 – 72 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-19 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#339) | -7.1 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#357) | -1.67 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.08 (#354) | -2.30 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#345) | 0.419 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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