Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | LEM -250 CHST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | LEM -6.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -3.2 (+1.8) | 148.7 (+6.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -4.7 (+0.3) | 147.6 (+7.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -4.4 (+0.6) | 147.3 (+7.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -4.4 (+0.6) | 150.3 (+4.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEM 81 – 63 CHST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LEM 72 – 57 CHST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHST 88 – 72 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 4-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 3-7 |
| Away | 2-16 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.4 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#350) | -17.3 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#331) | -2.42 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#336) | -3.00 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#330) | 0.414 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.