Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -750 ASU +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -7.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -7.3 (-0.3) | 132.8 (-5.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -4.9 (+2.1) | 129.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -5.1 (+1.9) | 129.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -5.8 (+1.2) | 132.8 (-5.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | ASU 82 – 68 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#37) | 9.3 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#69) | 1.87 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#65) | 2.33 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#93) | 0.596 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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