Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | KU -1800 KSU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +10 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | KU -20.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -17.2 (-7.2) | 138.9 (+19.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -15.0 (-5.0) | 141.8 (+16.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -16.7 (-6.7) | 137.4 (+20.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -18.0 (-8.0) | 137.8 (+20.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 85 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | KU 86 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU 81 – 73 KU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | KU 90 – 68 KSU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | KSU 75 – 70 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 20.1 (#9) | 3.3 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#13) | 0.27 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.50 (#10) | 0.64 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.681 (#4) | 0.511 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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