Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +170 KU -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +24 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -7.1 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.6 (-18.4) | 152.0 (-4.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -3.2 (-20.8) | 151.9 (-3.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -5.9 (-18.1) | 150.8 (-2.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -5.8 (-18.2) | 151.1 (-3.1) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 85 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU 81 – 73 KU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU 84 – 74 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | KU 90 – 68 KSU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | KSU 75 – 70 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#74) | 18.7 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#78) | 3.22 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#85) | 4.12 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#103) | 0.661 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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