Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | KSU +138 KU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | KU -5.2 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -3.1 (+8.1) | 142.9 (+2.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -1.9 (+6.9) | 141.0 (+4.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -4.0 (+9.0) | 142.4 (+2.6) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -4.3 (+9.3) | 142.6 (+2.4) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 85 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | KU 86 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU 81 – 73 KU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU 84 – 74 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | KU 90 – 68 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#74) | 16.2 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#75) | 2.89 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#83) | 3.53 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#86) | 0.648 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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