Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | KSU +150 KU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | KU -7.6 (+15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -3.4 (+11.4) | 144.0 (+10.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -2.6 (+10.6) | 143.4 (+10.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.4 (+11.4) | 142.5 (+11.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -4.2 (+12.2) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 85 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | KU 86 – 62 KSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU 84 – 74 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | KU 90 – 68 KSU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | KSU 75 – 70 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#68) | 19.4 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#76) | 2.96 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#74) | 3.77 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#87) | 0.642 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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