Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | KU -1000 KSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +22 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | KU -9.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -10.0 (+12.0) | 142.0 (+16.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -9.5 (+12.5) | 143.6 (+14.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -9.4 (+12.6) | 143.6 (+14.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -9.6 (+12.4) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 85 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | KU 86 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU 81 – 73 KU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU 84 – 74 KSU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | KSU 75 – 70 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#17) | 9.0 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#14) | 1.39 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#18) | 1.75 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#13) | 0.547 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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