Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | KU -2400 KSU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +19 | 189 | Won |
| Massey | KU -15.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+35.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -13.3 (+5.7) | 155.3 (+33.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -13.4 (+5.6) | 150.0 (+39.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -12.4 (+6.6) | 149.3 (+39.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -14.0 (+5.0) | 153.6 (+35.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | KU 86 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU 81 – 73 KU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU 84 – 74 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | KU 90 – 68 KSU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | KSU 75 – 70 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 18.3 (#20) | 6.1 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#14) | 0.96 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.99 (#17) | 1.25 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#9) | 0.503 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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