Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | ILST -500 MOST +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -11.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -8.1 (-2.1) | 137.6 (+4.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -9.2 (-3.2) | 139.4 (+2.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -9.4 (-3.4) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -10.0 (-4.0) | 139.1 (+2.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2025 | ILST 70 – 54 MOST |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ILST 70 – 68 MOST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ILST 75 – 74 MOST |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ILST 69 – 60 MOST |
| Jan 12, 2023 | ILST 76 – 66 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#127) | -5.7 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#165) | -1.25 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#154) | -1.32 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#151) | 0.434 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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