Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -360 IU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +1 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -10.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -8.4 (-9.4) | 151.5 (+1.5) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -7.2 (-8.2) | 150.8 (+2.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -8.0 (-9.0) | 149.4 (+3.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -7.9 (-8.9) | 151.4 (+1.6) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OSU 91 – 78 IU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | IU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | IU 76 – 73 OSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | IU 71 – 65 OSU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | IU 86 – 70 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#27) | 8.9 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#47) | 2.02 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#34) | 2.60 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#45) | 0.605 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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