Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | IU -140 OSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -0.3 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -1.4 (+4.6) | 149.4 (-23.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -1.1 (+4.9) | 149.0 (-23.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -2.1 (+3.9) | 147.8 (-21.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -1.7 (+4.3) | 149.1 (-23.1) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OSU 91 – 78 IU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | IU 77 – 76 OSU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | IU 76 – 73 OSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | IU 71 – 65 OSU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | IU 86 – 70 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#51) | 15.1 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#52) | 2.05 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#49) | 2.94 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#46) | 0.561 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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