Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -250 IU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +3 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -8.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -6.7 (-9.7) | 146.6 (+2.4) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -6.6 (-9.6) | 143.9 (+5.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -6.4 (-9.4) | 144.9 (+4.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.5 (-9.5) | 145.0 (+4.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OSU 91 – 78 IU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | IU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | IU 77 – 76 OSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | IU 71 – 65 OSU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | IU 86 – 70 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#65) | 4.4 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#88) | 1.33 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#83) | 1.61 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#95) | 0.563 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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