Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | IU -225 OSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +16 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | IU -2.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -4.3 (+11.7) | 145.1 (+10.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -2.8 (+13.2) | 143.6 (+12.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -4.6 (+11.4) | 145.2 (+10.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -4.3 (+11.7) | 144.9 (+11.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OSU 91 – 78 IU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | IU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | IU 77 – 76 OSU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | IU 76 – 73 OSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | IU 71 – 65 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-15 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#21) | 14.0 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#28) | 1.20 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#23) | 1.90 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#43) | 0.537 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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