Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | IU -105 OSU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -5.3 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -4.1 (+10.1) | 145.7 (-9.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -3.1 (+9.1) | 146.6 (-10.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -2.9 (+8.9) | 147.3 (-11.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -3.1 (+9.1) | 146.3 (-10.3) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OSU 91 – 78 IU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | IU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | IU 77 – 76 OSU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | IU 76 – 73 OSU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | IU 86 – 70 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#125) | 12.2 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#52) | 1.77 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#63) | 2.51 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#46) | 0.586 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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