Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -135 L-MD +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +16 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -4.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -3.2 (-19.2) | 138.4 (-2.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -2.4 (-18.4) | 138.8 (-2.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -2.6 (-18.6) | 139.1 (-3.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -2.3 (-18.3) | 140.8 (-4.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LEH 75 – 70 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-14 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#285) | -8.2 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#268) | -1.32 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#289) | -1.73 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#265) | 0.426 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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