Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -600 L-MD +430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -10.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -6.8 (-1.8) | 137.9 (+7.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -8.0 (-3.0) | 137.2 (+7.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -7.9 (-2.9) | 138.0 (+7.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -8.2 (-3.2) | 139.4 (+5.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 2-11 |
| Away | 8-11 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#273) | -12.5 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#335) | -2.72 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#321) | -3.43 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#307) | 0.384 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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