Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD -140 LEH +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | L-MD -4.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -2.1 (+3.9) | 142.5 (+11.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -1.7 (+4.3) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -1.8 (+4.2) | 142.8 (+11.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -1.8 (+4.2) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LEH 75 – 70 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-12 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#271) | -5.7 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#243) | 0.13 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#237) | -0.41 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#246) | 0.521 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.