Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD -145 LEH +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | L-MD -1.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -0.5 (+3.5) | 140.0 (+10.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -0.6 (+3.4) | 140.0 (+10.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -1.1 (+2.9) | 138.9 (+11.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -0.6 (+3.4) | 139.9 (+10.1) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LEH 75 – 70 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-12 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#308) | -7.1 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#317) | -1.54 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#308) | -1.91 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#324) | 0.447 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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