Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -185 L-MD +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +7 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -6.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -4.0 (+3.0) | 148.0 (+21.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.1 (+2.9) | 145.5 (+23.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -4.4 (+2.6) | 147.2 (+21.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -3.0 (+4.0) | 148.2 (+20.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LEH 75 – 70 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#298) | -11.8 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#320) | -2.69 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#336) | -3.28 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#304) | 0.370 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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