Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | USC -120 WIS +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +15 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -2.9 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -1.3 (-13.7) | 146.8 (+6.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -1.9 (-13.1) | 148.2 (+4.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -1.6 (-13.4) | 148.6 (+4.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.6 (-13.4) | 150.2 (+2.8) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | USC 73 – 71 WIS |
| Nov 25, 2022 | WIS 64 – 59 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#65) | 15.6 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#70) | 3.11 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#60) | 4.25 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#82) | 0.636 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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