Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -360 USC +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -6.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -7.2 (-9.2) | 158.5 (-14.5) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -6.5 (-8.5) | 155.1 (-11.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -6.3 (-8.3) | 155.0 (-11.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -6.2 (-8.2) | 158.4 (-14.4) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | WIS 84 – 69 USC |
| Nov 25, 2022 | WIS 64 – 59 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#41) | 9.9 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#26) | 2.22 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#36) | 2.47 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#38) | 0.588 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 35.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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