Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | WIS +110 USC -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -2.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.5 (+3.5) | 134.1 (-11.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -1.9 (+3.1) | 131.7 (-8.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -1.8 (+3.2) | 129.9 (-6.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.4 (+2.6) | 131.3 (-8.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | USC 73 – 71 WIS |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WIS 84 – 69 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#97) | 2.1 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#67) | 0.19 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#66) | 0.23 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#65) | 0.500 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.5% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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