Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -1400 SJSU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -13.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -13.6 (-2.6) | 135.8 (+3.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -10.8 (+0.2) | 138.7 (+0.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -10.9 (+0.1) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -11.9 (-0.9) | 139.1 (-0.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | SJSU 87 – 71 NEV |
| Jan 21, 2026 | NEV 87 – 54 SJSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NEV 73 – 58 SJSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NEV 84 – 63 SJSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NEV 90 – 60 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#67) | -0.5 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#106) | -0.23 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#83) | -0.49 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#127) | 0.484 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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