Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | SJSU +460 NEV -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +21 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | NEV -11.4 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -13.0 (-8.0) | 139.3 (+7.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -11.1 (-9.9) | 137.5 (+9.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -11.1 (-9.9) | 138.1 (+8.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -12.2 (-8.8) | 139.8 (+7.2) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | SJSU 87 – 71 NEV |
| Jan 21, 2026 | NEV 87 – 54 SJSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NEV 73 – 58 SJSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NEV 75 – 64 SJSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NEV 90 – 60 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-9 | 15-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#230) | 11.0 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#254) | 2.34 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#246) | 2.75 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#250) | 0.585 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.