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McNeese Cowboys
75 – 64
FINAL Conference
Lamar Cardinals
Southland Conference · Townsley Law Arena · January 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MCN -14.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money MCN -1800 / LAM +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total MCN win
Actual MCN +11 139 Won
Massey MCN -15.7 (-4.7) — —
Massey Totals — 131.2 (+7.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MCN -13.1 (-2.1) 134.3 (+4.7) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MCN -13.5 (-2.5) 135.1 (+3.9) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MCN -13.4 (-2.4) 135.1 (+3.9) 88% ✓
Baseline ML MCN -12.9 (-1.9) 135.7 (+3.3) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 MCN 64 – 63 LAM
Jan 3, 2026 MCN 82 – 70 LAM
Mar 12, 2025 MCN 63 – 54 LAM
Mar 2, 2025 MCN 68 – 66 LAM
Mar 12, 2024 MCN 76 – 57 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MCN LAM
Overall 28-7 20-13
Conference 19-1 14-6
Home 15-1 10-4
Away 10-2 9-7
Neutral 3-4 1-2
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.7 67.4
Avg Pts Against 64.5 67.0
Massey 9.0 (#64) -3.0 (#216)
Bradley-Terry 0.96 (#93) -0.94 (#254)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.30 (#87) -1.00 (#241)
RPI 0.554 (#79) 0.456 (#254)
Shooting & Four Factors MCN LAM
FG% 45.5% 41.8%
3PT% 31.8% 34.9%
REB / G 35.6 36.4
OREB / G 11.7 13.4
AST / TO 1.06 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 47.1%
TOV% 16.8% 18.6%
ORB% 34.3% 35.5%
FT Rate 27.2% 18.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.5% 49.4%
Opp TOV% 22.1% 18.8%
DRB% 68.5% 65.4%
Opp FT Rate 26.4% 23.7%

Game Analysis

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