Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LAM +340 MCN -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -7.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -6.3 (+4.3) | 134.4 (-0.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -5.1 (+3.1) | 133.8 (+0.2) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -5.0 (+3.0) | 134.1 (-0.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -5.4 (+3.4) | 134.4 (-0.4) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | MCN 64 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MCN 63 – 54 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MCN 76 – 57 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 19-1 |
| Home | 10-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 9-7 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#186) | 8.9 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#178) | 1.34 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#177) | 1.49 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#149) | 0.586 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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