Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LAM +490 MCN -675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +1 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -8.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -7.7 (+6.7) | 142.8 (-15.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -7.4 (+6.4) | 140.3 (-13.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -6.8 (+5.8) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -6.6 (+5.6) | 143.5 (-16.5) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MCN 63 – 54 LAM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MCN 68 – 66 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MCN 76 – 57 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 19-3 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-0 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#196) | 9.4 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#230) | 1.54 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#225) | 1.93 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#242) | 0.587 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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