Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -1400 LAM +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +19 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -14.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -14.0 (+5.0) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -13.0 (+6.0) | 143.3 (-10.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -14.4 (+4.6) | 143.1 (-10.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -13.8 (+5.2) | 142.4 (-9.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | MCN 64 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MCN 63 – 54 LAM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MCN 68 – 66 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 12-6 |
| Home | 18-0 | 11-3 |
| Away | 11-3 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#70) | -2.6 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#44) | -0.71 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#40) | -0.78 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#33) | 0.481 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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