Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -1000 LAM +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +9 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -13.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -13.4 (-4.4) | 134.6 (-17.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -13.5 (-4.5) | 134.2 (-17.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -13.2 (-4.2) | 134.4 (-17.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -12.7 (-3.7) | 134.9 (-17.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | MCN 64 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MCN 68 – 66 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MCN 76 – 57 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 10-2 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#62) | -0.8 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#68) | -0.09 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#78) | -0.12 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#36) | 0.518 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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