Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +125 AMCC -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -2.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.9 (-3.1) | 146.5 (-14.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -2.9 (-3.1) | 146.5 (-14.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -3.1 (-2.9) | 146.1 (-14.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.5 (-3.5) | 147.4 (-15.4) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
| Jan 6, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 65 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#249) | 1.6 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#308) | 0.06 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#296) | 0.21 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#329) | 0.505 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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