Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -218 UIW +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -6.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -5.9 (-7.9) | 133.7 (+6.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -4.7 (-6.7) | 132.9 (+7.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -5.3 (-7.3) | 133.6 (+6.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -5.4 (-7.4) | 134.8 (+5.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
| Jan 6, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 65 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 13-9 | 7-15 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#187) | -4.8 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#206) | -1.56 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#190) | -1.91 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#193) | 0.411 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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