Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +130 AMCC -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -2.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -0.7 (-10.7) | 146.3 (-6.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -1.1 (-8.9) | 144.2 (-4.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -0.7 (-10.7) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -0.5 (-10.5) | 144.4 (-4.4) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-14 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#294) | -5.5 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#295) | -1.24 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#324) | -1.85 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#328) | 0.477 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 39.0% |
Game Analysis
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