Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -360 UIW +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +14 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -7.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -5.2 (+8.8) | 142.0 (-18.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -6.7 (+7.3) | 138.8 (-14.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -5.5 (+8.5) | 141.6 (-17.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -5.1 (+8.9) | 141.8 (-17.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
| Jan 6, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 65 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#170) | -5.1 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#218) | -1.62 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#213) | -1.72 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#203) | 0.419 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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