Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UIW -108 AMCC -112 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +8 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -0.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -0.4 (-7.6) | 131.3 (+18.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -0.5 (-8.5) | 130.0 (+20.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -0.0 (-8.0) | 129.3 (+20.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -0.2 (-7.8) | 129.7 (+20.3) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
| Jan 6, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 65 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 13-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#217) | -0.2 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#269) | -0.26 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#270) | 0.01 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#308) | 0.495 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.